Virtual time capsule

[griffinn]

The saying goes that man is over-optimistic over the short term and over-pessimistic over the long term. It means that we tend to predict far more technological progress five years from now than it actually turns out, and far less progress over 50 years than reality.

Let's treat this thread as a time capsule and do a one-year prediction of technological progress. One year later, we'll revive this thread and see who's closest to the mark.

My prediction: One year from now, electronic paper will start finding mainstream use, and paper will start going out of favour. People will look forward to the invention of electronic toilet paper.

(No, that last part is not part of the real prediction.)

[bored154]

cant... stop.... laughing..... at........ electronic.................... paper! for some reason i think electronic paper is funny.

[xzxzzx]

That's pretty cool.

[White Raven]

I'd have to say that in the next year, several video game consoles will be replaced by better ones, there will have been at least 2 new sets of 150 Pokemon monsters, and kids will still be obsessed with trading cards.

[squakMix]

I predict a gigabyte of RAM will be considered "only" a gigabyte of RAM.

[Bizzeh]

electronic paper, what happens if it crahses?

[squakMix]

I also predict that there will be a RADEON 10000 with 512 mb.

[Dark Ninja]

i predict monitor screens that can be folded ,WHAT!!
yeah,and uhhh...hard drives the size of £1 coins

[bored154]

i predict that a computer with Windows XP will fit in your pocket with usb ports, Bluetooth, a hard drive, etc. oh wait they already did that! http://www.oqo.com/

[ryan]

I predict a new album by 30 Seconds to Mars.

(or hope)

[xzxzzx]

I predict that Windows Longhorn won't even be close to release, and will have been pushed back into 2006.

[DuaneJeffers]

I predict that the winamp forums will still be over run by n00bs and that we will see Winamp v5.05 by the end of 2004. I also predict that Half-Life 2 will not be released until late 2005 because of "Unexpected Consequences" .

-Duane

[SSJ4 Gogitta]

5 GHz Pentium V
2 THz transistors
0.08 micron microprocessors
10 Gigabyte flash cards
1 Terabyte plastic ROM modules
8 Gigabyte RAM modules
2 Terabyte hard drives
Playstation 3 (or at least advertisment for a 2006 release)
80x multi-laser CD-ROMs
1 Terabyte FMD-ROMs (Fluorescent Multilayer Disc)
FMD Burners
64 terabit DWDM fiber optic connection (not for home use, obviouslly)

[Hollow]

carbon nanotubes begin to find widespread use as a plastic reenforcement.

[mark]

CD-ROMs will (finally) be superseeded by dvds for 99% of software (or at least games)

[griffinn]

Originally posted by Bizzeh
electronic paper, what happens if it crahses?

As with Windows, it takes down whatever application you have running on it.

Oops, that would rule out the idea of electronic toilet paper... It's not a good thing to have your ass shut down.

Originally posted by Dark Ninja
hard drives the size of £1 coins

It probably won't take a year:

http://www.cnn.com/2004/TECH/ptech/0...eut/index.html

[Smeggle]

whats scary is what there not telling us really...going by the norm, the 'Military' is say around 5-ten years in advance technologically wise, wonder what the fuck they have!!

Also,just a not on your title ....'Virtual time capsule'...It's called the Internet ...I reckon every single thing is being recorded, even each individual keystroke I am nowmaking, and they are being fed to one massive 'Central Core' (I'm watching Earth - Final Conflict) ---- myself I think that is going to be the next evolution,,, a silica-carbon based lifeform....


~

[Too-DAMN-Much]

That Blizzard entertainment will still be working on some lame (in comparison) new starcraft game before making Diablo III 'to make sure that the market isn't flooded with numerous spin-off's/expansions.'
*sigh*

[fwgx]

Originally posted by Smeggle
whats scary is what there not telling us really...going by the norm, the 'Military' is say around 5-ten years in advance technologically wise, wonder what the fuck they have!!

Also,just a not on your title ....'Virtual time capsule'...It's called the Internet ...I reckon every single thing is being recorded, even each individual keystroke I am nowmaking, and they are being fed to one massive 'Central Core' (I'm watching Earth - Final Conflict) ---- myself I think that is going to be the next evolution,,, a silica-carbon based lifeform....


~

Actually the military are behind the market, they can't keep the pace because of the costs and so use the big players in the industry.

The best stuff that isn't a prototype you can get in the high street due to the way competition works. The miliraty will have very specialised versions of things with slight changes here and there. They certainly aren't messing with 7GHz P5's.

I predict that a hole in a microsoft product will sweep across the globe causing havok and costing millions of pounds worth of damage.

[Coman]

have a cell phone, pda, all extensions music palyer, radio, voice recorder, digital/film camera, digital/dvd camcorder, fully functional personal computer (using minidisks), all top of the line, all in one, on the palm of your hand, light enough to carry in your pocket. but that's a distant future

also electronic transparent eye lenses where you can store information and display it on your side of the lens so nothing is seen from the outside. good way to cheat on tests

[EfaustuS9]

This thread is some what similar to a Conan O'Brian skit, "in the year 2000".

-Linux Blue will be released by IBM and erode even more of Micro$ofts market share.
-Pentium will create an even more inefficient processor by extending its pipeline to 60 stages in order to squeeze out more clock cycles.
-Winamp will be relabeled AOLamp and included with AOL 11 exclusively ;-)

[Smeggle]

Originally posted by Phily Baby

I predict that a hole in a microsoft product will sweep across the globe causing havok and costing millions of pounds worth of damage.

I thought the object was to predict some thing? LMAO



Off topic..I dunno Phily I remember going to Caterick once for this mad how the signals were doing... This corporal grabs hold of me and gets me to scribble soem stuff on a bit of paper and sends me over to a tent about two hundred mtrs away. I go in there and another soldier type fellow gives me a copy of what I had scribbled ..I had just seen a 'FAX' machine ...thing is they didn't hit the consumer market for at least another 5-6 years! and I know of other similar instances...

Hmm

~

[Vie]

A marjor can manufacture will make a moddle for the public with a MP3 player instead of a CD player, and an optional upgrade to use other formats.

[fwgx]

Originally posted by Vie
A marjor can manufacture will make a moddle for the public with a MP3 player instead of a CD player, and an optional upgrade to use other formats.

I've never seen a can play CD's!

[griffinn]

The time is up.

Electronic paper didn't catch on. However, form factors are proliferating for all sorts of electronic devices (sub-notebooks, ultra-portable notebooks, phone-camera-PDA-computer combos) and wireless networks have become a utility, which sort of fulfills the original objectives of electronic paper.

How well did your predictions fare in the past year?

[Mattress]

actually PDF has become much more widespread

[Wolfgang]

I predicted that I'd be better at handing coursework in on time. It has gone dismally in the other direction.

[Vie]

Oh boy.
Well it seems that not ONE car manufacturer has done as I predicted, shame realy.

[xzxzzx]

Originally posted by xzxzzx
I predict that Windows Longhorn won't even be close to release, and will have been pushed back into 2006.

http://www.microsoft.com/presspass/p...rget2006PR.asp

Damn I'm good.

[Wolfgang]

I think you used one too many Os there.

[mark]

I stopped buying PC games ages ago when i discovered bittorrent. anyone know if i was right about DVDs taking over?

[Vie]

Not realy, there mostly coming out in both CD and DVD, with CD's taking the lions share of the shelf space.

its probably not been helped by the HL2 Steam thing, its pissed off a lot of people I've met who game.

[mark]

I liked the steam release, i allready had the game downloaded by launch, and just had to wait for it to decrypt

[Vie]

No, people who bought the game on DVD belived that they were getting the game like any other. So when they had to deal with steam, oh boy. Trouble is, quite a few belvied that Steam was used on all games releaced on DVD.

I tried to educate them, but to be honest, its not worth it.

[xzxzzx]

Originally posted by Wolfgang
I think you used one too many Os there.

Have a good day.

[Coman]

shall we do another year or two?

wireless power will become a much bigger development in coming years and will be a major breakthrough in technology when your PDA phones become completely and forever wireless.

[xzxzzx]

You mean including charging, Coman?

[griffinn]

Remote electrocution, probably.

[Vie]

2gb of ram will be "Only" 2gb of ram. (Faily safe bet)
AMD and Intel will still be at eachothers throats.
Apple will fudge the results of at least 2 benchmarks
A MSBlaster equivilant that plays havoc with XP.
You will not be able to go online wihout at least 3 penis enlargement adverts taking over your entire screen, with graphic images.

[shakey_snake]

Cells phones in the US will lag further behind than the rest of the world due to large coverage gaps and obscene plan lengths and cancellation penalties.

Firefox 1.1.3 will have 12% of the market share and IE7 will flop.